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Middle AgesCosmos & Earth

Carbon-14 spike of 774 CE

774 CENotableContested

Tree rings show a sudden 1.2 percent jump in carbon-14 between 774 and 775 CE, the signature of a huge burst of radiation from space. Its cause is still debated.

The story

In 2012 a team led by Fusa Miyake at Nagoya University measured carbon-14 in Japanese cedar tree rings and found that the level jumped by about 1.2 percent in a single year, between 774 and 775 CE. That is far larger than the normal variation from the solar cycle. Carbon-14 forms when cosmic particles hit the upper atmosphere, so something delivered a vast pulse of energetic particles to Earth. Later studies found the same jump in tree rings in Europe, Russia, North America and New Zealand, and beryllium-10 and chlorine-36 spikes in Antarctic ice cores.

No one wrote down an explanation, and no contemporary record fits cleanly. Some researchers connect it to the Anglo-Saxon Chronicle, which for the year it dates 773 reports a red crucifix in the sky after sunset, perhaps an aurora. The cause is debated: candidates include an extreme solar storm far stronger than the Carrington Event, a short gamma-ray burst, or other cosmic sources. Similar spikes have since been found around 993 CE and 660 BCE. The event matters because a solar storm of that size would badly damage modern power grids and satellites.

Why it mattered

  • Opened a new field, using tree rings and ice cores to find extreme space weather events before written records.
  • Gave a way to date wooden objects exactly, by matching their rings to the 774 to 775 spike.
  • Raised the estimate of how strong a solar storm can become, which informs space weather planning.

Contested history

Consensus: A burst of energetic particles hit Earth in 774 to 775 CE; what caused it, and whether any written source describes it, is not settled.

An extreme solar stormDebated
A solar superflare can produce such a pulse, but the Sun has not been seen to do it, and the estimated strength is very large.
A short gamma-ray burst from a distant mergerMinority view
This was proposed in 2013 and fits some isotope ratios, but no source has been identified.
The Anglo-Saxon Chronicle's red crucifix records the eventSpeculation
An aurora is plausible, but the dating is uncertain and no direct tie to the spike is shown.
Read this view
A nearby supernovaUnsupported
No remnant or contemporary bright star report matches, so most researchers have set it aside.

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