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Information AgeWar & Conflict

Second Congo War

1998MajorContested

Armies of nine African states and dozens of militias fight in Congo; war, disease and hunger kill between one and five million people.

The story

In August 1998 Rwanda and Uganda, which had helped Laurent-Desire Kabila overthrow the dictator Mobutu Sese Seko only a year earlier, turned against him and backed a new rebellion in eastern Congo (then the Democratic Republic of the Congo, formerly Zaire). Angola, Zimbabwe and Namibia sent troops to defend Kabila, and Chad, Sudan and Burundi became involved as well. At its height the war drew in the armies of nine African states and dozens of armed groups, and the country split into zones held by the government, by rebel movements and by foreign forces.

The roots lay in the Rwandan genocide of 1994. After it, more than a million Hutu refugees, among them many soldiers and militiamen responsible for the killings, fled into eastern Zaire, where camps became bases for attacks on Rwanda. In 1996 Rwanda and Uganda backed Kabila's march across the country, ending Mobutu's 32-year rule. Mobutu had come to power in the turmoil after independence and Patrice Lumumba's murder, and his corrupt regime left the state hollow, unable to control its vast territory or its wealth of gold, diamonds, copper, timber and coltan (an ore used in electronics).

Front lines stalled, but armies and militias profited from mining and fought for local control. Kabila was assassinated in January 2001 and succeeded by his son Joseph. A ceasefire signed in Lusaka in 1999 failed, but the Sun City talks of 2002 led to a transitional government in 2003. The International Rescue Committee estimated 5.4 million excess deaths from 1998 to 2007, mostly from disease and malnutrition; other researchers argue the true figure is lower, perhaps one to two million. Violence continues in eastern Congo.

Why it mattered

  • The war became one of the deadliest conflicts since World War II and the largest interstate war in modern African history.
  • The UN peacekeeping mission in Congo, created in 1999, grew into one of the largest and costliest in UN history.
  • Concern over conflict minerals led to laws such as the 2010 US Dodd-Frank provision requiring companies to trace tin, tantalum, tungsten and gold.
  • Armed groups born in the war, and Rwanda's involvement in eastern Congo, continue to drive conflict there.

Sources

  1. How many people really died in Congo? Congo Research Group
  2. Review of Congo war halves death toll NBC News
  3. Congo at War International Crisis Group
  4. Eastern Congo: A Legacy of Intervention Council on Foreign Relations
  5. Two Plus Two Equals Five Foreign Policy

Contested history

Consensus: The Second Congo War caused an enormous humanitarian catastrophe, but estimates of excess deaths differ widely depending on method.

About 5.4 million excess deaths from 1998 to 2007Debated
The International Rescue Committee's mortality surveys produced this widely cited figure.
The true toll is lower, perhaps 1 to 2 million or moreDebated
The Human Security Report Project argued the IRC used too low a baseline death rate and unrepresentative samples.
Most deaths came from disease and malnutrition rather than violenceEstablished
Both camps agree that preventable disease, hunger and displacement caused most deaths.
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